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NBA: 83 of 126 wins. 66 of 126 spreads.
Overall: 103 of 156 wins. 81 of 156 spreads.

Yesterday’s recap:

  • I thought that the 76ers would crush the Grizzlies. They won, but only by 4.
  • I assumed that the Magic would destroy yesterday and they actually lost for once. The Nuggets are a damn good team though, so if they had to at least it was respectable.
  • In crap vs. crap I picked the Bobcats to destroy the Wizards and they did. Woo.
  • The Cavaliers won and definitely covered against the Suns.
  • My given win of the day ended up losing by 2. Boo Spurs for making me look bad.
  • The Pistons lost by 4 to the Hawks. I’m not sure what AI’s status was because I didn’t watch the game, but I picked the Pistons to win and I have to live with that.
  • The Bucks won and covered against the Pacers.
  • My “Celtics win.” pick was right. They demolished the Hornets.
  • The Rockets beat the Kings by 12 on a 14 point spread (that later dropped to 13½). Luckily, I didn’t trust that game, but I lost my spread pick on the game by 2 points. Close one.
  • I knew the Lakers would be tired, Kobe was sick, and the Jazz are good at home. However, I thought they could win. They were basically handed the damn game around 4 times in the 4th quarter and they couldn’t capitalize, even when Utah decided that made free throws were for chumps in the 4th quarter.
  • The Trail Blazers won and covered a 12 point spread. Nice.
  • I picked the Knicks to beat the Clippers as underdogs. They tied, went to overtime and lost by 4 on a 5 point spread. I lost the win pick, but got the spread pick.



Overall, I was 7 of 12 on win picks and 5 for 12 on spreads. In site news, I’m taking a day break on picks today and letting Josh from my other blog, A Fifth of Vapor, take over picks for the day. I’m not adding his to my running tally because they aren’t mine and frankly, glancing at them is confusing to me. Different formatting. Whatever, decipher them as you will. Here’s Josh:

So Kobe pulled out Sam Cassell’s “I’ve Got Big Cajones” dance last night against the Jazz again, and the Lakers ended up losing. This is funny because the same exact thing happened earlier in the year against the Spurs, with Roger Mason hitting a three point play to crush the Lakers in San Antonio. The Lakers are now 0-and-2 when Kobe pulls out the cajones dance. Maybe he should just keep it in his pants. Also, I can’t believe nobody remembers or mentions where this dance is from… the movie Major League! You got no marbles!

With that said… I am taking over the picks today and putting my “support” where my mouth is, with six picks. It’s a slow day for NBA games as most teams have already packed it in for the All Star Break, but there are six lucky teams that get to play today. Also, I picked some college games that I have some interest in. All my picks are based on the spread.

NBA

Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls (-4)

Dare I say Chicago is getting all their young talent playing more and more to their potential every night? Plus, I have to include a home team in these three picks. Bulls cover.

Boston Celtics (-3½) vs. Dallas Mavericks

This Mavs team has to realize there is a very realistic chance they will be the nine seed in the West at the end of the year. That kids, is not good enough to make the playoffs. Could their inconsistencies stem from having that reality breathing down their necks? With that said, PP, KG and Jesus will not let the Celtics lose going into the break, so I’m taking them to win and cover.

Portland Trailblazers (+3½) vs. Golden State Warriors

It took the Blazers a buzzer beater to beat a Knicks team at home that the Warriors just blew out on their own home floor. And you know what?… I don’t give a crap, it’s the Knicks, which pretty much throws that whole common opponent argument out the window. I think Biedrins’ absence in this game is huge and the Blazers end up winning. Well, unless Corey Maggette can get away with this again.

NCAA

UCLA Bruins (-1½) vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

UCLA forgot how to shoot down the stretch last time these two teams played. Their offense has grown a bunch since then, so I pick UCLA to wash the stink away from the last time these two teams played with a win and cover.

USC Trojans vs. Arizona Wildcats (-2½)

Arizona is coming on strong in league play and I expect them to win and cover this.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3½)

Notre Dame needs this game.. bad.. so I like their chances at home.

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NBA: 69 of 105 wins. 55 of 105 spreads.
Overall: 85 of 131 wins. 66 of 131 spreads.

So, the day finally came. The day that I picked perfectly wrong in the NBA. I feel like I let myself down by finally picking as well as the ESPN guy that I made fun of for my first few posts. Oh well, he gets paid and I’m chronicling my slow learning of handicapping sports, mostly the NBA. Sorry to anyone who used my advice, but if you’ve read the about section you’ll know that I told you I’m learning and Hell, everyone has a bad day. That being said… ugh. Yesterday’s recap:

  • I debated the Suns/76ers game for a long while. The reason I thought that the Suns could win was that Amare is trying to play like a stud to show his value to any potential trading teams. However, the Suns have been damn spotty lately and they proved it by falling to the 76ers. I picked the Suns and the 76ers won. Oh well.
  • Like I said before, I’d never “support” a crap vs. crap game. That being said, I felt like the Clippers could beat the Bobcats because they’ve seemed like they actually wanted to play for the past two games. So, for once I gave them the pick… and the lost. God this recap is going horribly.
  • Yes, I picked the Hornets sans Chris Paul. I saw their last game without him and I really just felt like their backups could take on the Grizzlies. They lost by 5, close game, but wrong pick again by me.
  • So, while the Rockets can and should beat the Bucks by 6, they didn’t and completed my 4 team wrong pick parlay. Awesome.
  • The light at the end of the tunnel, and hopefully the only time this will ever happen, I picked right in college and wrong in all of my NBA games. I said Pittsburgh would win and cover 9 against West Virginia and they won by 11.
  • Well in the Kansas vs. Missouri bout I thought it would be close and it was. I picked Missouri to edge out Kansas and I thought they could cover 4½ if they won. They won, but only by 2.



For NBA picks I was… 0 for 4 on wins and obviously 0 for 4 on spreads. Gah. Overall, I was 2 for 6 on wins and 1 for 6 on spreads. I kid you not everyone has a day like that. Let’s hope that’s the last one or I’ll have to put in an application to work for ESPN. God I love making fun of that guy for some reason. Anyways, today’s picks… you were warned with this recap:

NBA

Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks

There isn’t a line up for this for some reason. I’ll pick the Hawks to win because they have to sooner or later and the Wizards are just that visiting team that should hand them a win without much contest.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6½) vs. Indiana Pacers

The only thing that could sway me on this game is the fact that the Pacers beat the Magic 3 games ago. But, the Magic are missing Jameer Nelson and trying to deal with that. I’m pretty confident that the Cavaliers win this and cover.

Denver Nuggets (-1) vs. Miami Heat

This line at -1 seems a little odd to me. I was trying to figure out why it’s so low. Nobody on the Nuggets is hurt, they don’t have a horrible away record, and they seem to be consistently winning. The Heat are getting spottier and spottier as they teeter on the edge of playoff contention. I’ll pick the Nuggets to win this and cover.

San Antonio Spurs (-5) vs. New Jersey Nets

The Spurs just finished beating Boston in Boston. The Nets destroyed Washington and Denver before having the same done to them by Orlando. The Spurs are right there in contention with Orlando and there is no way the Nets are as good as the Celtics. I’ll pick the Spurs to win and cover. Hopefully, they’ll remember how they played in Boston and this won’t even be a contest.

Toronto Raptors (-3½) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Gah, after a tough day yesterday, we have a game like this today. Both teams are bad, have recent horrible records, and hurt star players. Minnesota is at home, but has a worse record overall. It’s really a 50/50 game. I’ll give this to the Raptors because they’re due for a win and this will be the first full game for Minnesota after Al Jefferson went down. Raptors win and cover.

Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks (-12)

Let’s get the easy part out of the way, the Mavericks win this. I will eat my hat if they don’t. As for this monster spread, I’m not quite as sure. I’ll give it to the Mavericks to cover because the Kings are horrible, but the Mavericks definitely don’t always win by that many.

Detroit Pistons vs. Chicago Bulls (-2)

Really? The Bulls are favored? They have a worse record, no amazing home record or even recent home winning streak. The Pistons are a decent/good team that can take on most any teams outside of the top 6-8. The Bulls are not in the top 6-8, or really the top 15. I’ll pick the Pistons to win this unless someone gives me a good reason to pick otherwise.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers (-13)

Um, Lakers win. As for this giant spread. Let’s hope that they can cover it against arguably the worst team in the league.

New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors (-4½)

Golden State with their GD home game record. How can you pick a team to win that is 17-35 against a team that is 21-29? Oh ya, you pick the team that seems to kill almost everyone at home against the team that has been deeeestroyed lately by all-time great games. Golden State wins and covers.

NCAA

Indiana vs. Minnesota (-17)

I wonder who is supposed to win this one? Obviously, I pick Minnesota to win. As for the spread, I’ll say that Indiana stays within 17.

Michigan State (-4) vs. Michigan

This should be a close game and a rivalry at that. Both teams are very good and Michigan State’s only recent loss was to Penn State, who Michigan beat handily a few games ago. I’ll give this to Michigan State, but this one could really go either way.

Marquette vs. Villanova (-4½)

Really Marquette? You lost at South Florida? That alone is why I pick Villanova to win this, although it should be a close game.

Clemson (-3½) vs. Boston College

I really don’t know on this one. I’ll tentatively pick Clemson, but both of these teams are really good. Again, this is a tough day to pick Top 25 college hoops.

NBA: 69 of 101 wins. 55 of 101 spreads.
Overall: 83 of 125 wins. 65 of 125 spreads.

Yesterday’s recap:

  • The Spurs beat the Celtics! I had a feeling it would happen, as the Celtics lost a couple of game quickly right after the Lakers beat them last time. I don’t care if I picked that game wrong, that’s awesome. The coach of the Celtics said that they think they might play the Spurs in the finals? Too bad you’ll be watching the Lakers play the Cav’s. Keep dreaming bud.
  • THE LAKERS BEAT THE CAV’S! Why is that amazing? First of all, the Cav’s were undefeated at home! As in 23-0 in Cleveland… until today. The Lakers also did this without Andrew Bynum. Lamar Odom had a season high 28 points and The Cleveland LeBrons were effectively shut down. Oh and I picked this amazing feat to happen.
  • So, I said the Blazers were better, at home, and should win. They did, but only by 1 on a 7 point spread after blowing an 11 point lead. Got the win, not the spread.
  • I said that the Magic would beat the Nets, but not cover the giant spread without Jameer Nelson. The Magic won and easily covered.
  • I love when I get these exactly right. The Heat were picked to beat the Bobcats by 8. I said they would win, but not cover, as these teams are too close in numbers. The Heat won… and by less than 8.
  • I said the Pacers/Wizards game would be close, but the Pacers would win. The Wizards won. Oh well.
  • New Orleans beat the Timberwolves and barely covered. I’m really worried for the Hornets. A month ago they would have destroyed the Timberwolves.
  • I said OKC would win and cover 7 against the Kings and that hurt to say. Well, they won, but didn’t cover. Don’t ever “support” a crap vs. crap game. That’s solid advice.
  • Argh, the Suns beat the Pistons. Didn’t see that one. That’s all I can really say.
  • Well, I underestimated the crappy Warriors at home. They destroyed the Jazz.

Overall, I was 6 for 10 on wins and 3 for 10 on spreads. Again, don’t read that. Hit your head on the table a few times or something and pretend that never happened (please don’t actually do that). Blah, the sad thing is I was happy with the day because the Lakers did what nobody thought they would do 2 games in a row and the Celtics proved that they aren’t the top team this year. Lakers/Cavaliers in the finals. Count on it. Today’s picks:

NBA

Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-3½)

This is a tough game. Both teams are fairly evenly matched and ranked. The game is in Philadelphia so they got the spread in their favor. It really comes down to who I think will win this game straight up. I think the Suns will take this for some reason, although I’m not exactly sure why.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Bobcats (-1)

Both of these teams are terrible. However, the Clippers are on a (gasp!) two game winning streak! I’ll give the edge to them because I haven’t seen any life out of Charlotte since the Lakers game. Clippers win.

New Orleans Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-3)

Will this be the day that I pick all underdog picks? Apparently so far. I pick the Hornets to beat the Grizzlies at home.

Houston Rockets (-6) vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Scratch that last comment. I’ll pick a favored team for once today. The Rockets can and should beat the Bucks by 6.

NCAA

West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh (-9)

By the way, I hate the spelling of Pittsburgh. I noticed a day or so later that I had spelled it wrong in my Super Bowl pick. Oh well. I don’t think they should have any problem beating West Virginia while playing at home. Pittsburgh wins and covers.

Kansas vs. Missouri (-4½)

This is what we call “a good game.” #16 vs. #17 at #17’s home court. I’m hard pressed to pick a winner. College is spotty, but home teams usually have the advantage. I’ll give this to Missouri to win and cover, mainly for being at home and also beating Baylor by more than Kansas did. Really, no idea on who will win this though.

NBA: 52 of 75 wins. 43 of 75 spreads.
Overall: 66 of 98 wins. 53 of 98 spreads.

Yesterday’s recap:

  • Blah, one of those scores that makes you cringe a little at how close things were. I said the 76ers would win and cover 5½ and they won by 5. Just like the Cav’s yesterday.
  • Boom, the coin flip and my Lakers bias were right, the Lakers won by 1 in overtime! They were the underdogs by 7 against Boston. That was an epic game, but only for Kobe’s last minute 3 and all of the technicals.
  • Oh, Mavericks. You sucked it up big time when I threw my support behind you. Now we both look foolish.



Overall, I was 2 for 3 in wins picked and 1 for 3 in spreads (damn 76ers ½ point). That sounds worse than it really is. I basically got one underdog game wrong, one right, and missed a spread by ½ point. Not horrible considering. Today’s picks:

NBA

Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Bobcats

I’m not sure why, but there aren’t lines up yet for a lot of games. Anyways, the Bobcats are crap and at home and the Hawks are spotty at best. I give this to the Hawks, but it really could go either way with how randomly they shut down as a team.

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers

Magic win. No line again, but I can imagine it’s around the same as the line below with the Celtics.

Boston Celtics (-7) vs. New York Knicks

Finally, a spread. I’m tentative on this for two reasons. The last time the Lakers broke the Celtics’ winning streak, the Celtics lost a couple of bad games right after. Also, the Knicks have been getting decimated at home and at some point that will stop. That being said, the Celtics on average should destroy the Knicks, so I pick them to win and cover.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-4½)

The Clippers are absolute garbage and the Grizzlies are on a two game winning streak to get them to 13 wins! Woo! The Grizzlies win and cover.

Portland Trail Blazers (-6) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Blazers are good and OKC is again… garbage. The Trail Blazers win and cover.

Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards

Repeat what I’ve said in the past two. Nuggets = decent/good. Wizards = poop. Nuggets win this, even on the road.

Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Hornets(-3)

The Raptors are pretty bad, but the Hornets are slowly slipping off of the radar as top contenders in the west. A four game losing streak? Really? Chris Paul will most likely be out again and I think that makes this a somewhat even game. With Bosch out for the Raptors most likely, it really is anyone’s game. I’ll say that the Hornets win this, but who knows, it’s a battle of 2nd stringers.

Utah Jazz (-3) vs. Sacramento Kings

The Jazz are hurt and the Kings are terrible. Look for the injured Jazz to finally win four games in a row and their first road game in almost a month, obviously covering a 3 point spread.

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns (-10½)

Phoenix is spotty and sliding fast downhill. The Warriors are terrible, but beat Phoenix in their last game. I’m not really sure what to say about this game. A month ago, easily Phoenix would have gotten my pick, but they are falling apart fast. I’ll give this win to them because I have no faith in Golden State and they’ll cover because Golden State loses by a lot usually and Phoenix wins by a lot usually. Who knows though.

NCAA

Marquette (-9½) vs. South Florida

Marquette is on a dominating winning streak and South Florida is 2-7 in conference play. Even at home, they should get demolished by Marquette, who cover the almost 10 point spread.

NBA: 44 of 61 wins. 36 of 61 spreads.
Overall: 53 of 75 wins. 43 of 75 spreads.

Yesterday’s Picks:

  • The Cavaliers won and covered against the Raptors.
  • In the Timberwolves vs. the Pacers, I thought they were pretty even, but the Pacers would take it. The Timberwolves apparently won the game by 6.
  • The Celtics only won by 1 point and the spread was 3½. I guess I got the win right and the spread wrong. I’m confused why even without KG they didn’t win by more.
  • I didn’t like either of these teams, but eventually went with the Bucks… and they lost ha.
  • Ah Rockets. They won by 7 and the spread was… 7½. I guess I got the pick right and the spread wrong.
  • I finally picked against the Spurs and guess what? They lost. Apparently, I can pick any Spurs game anywhere haha. I don’t think I’ve picked wrong on them yet.



Overall, I was 4 for 6 on wins picked and 2 for 6 (grr Rockets) on spreads. I’m glad that I didn’t “support” any teams yesterday. Today’s picks:

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers(-8) vs. Toronto Raptors

The Lakers are without their center, but they just demolished the Knicks and seem to be doing alright offensively for now. If they can slow down the Raptors offense, look for them to win by at least 8.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Orlando Magic (-13)

The Magic… at home… against the Clippers. We all know where the win is going. The semi-question is the 13 point spread, but how can I not pick the Magic to cover? Therefore, Magic win and cover a 13 point spread. That sounds kind of funny.

New Jersey Nets vs. Washington Wizards (-2)

The Nets are terrible, but the Wizards are a junior high softball team. They’re only favored because they’re at home. While I hate saying this because the Nets are spotty, the underdog Nets win this.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6) vs. New York Knicks

Did the lines people see the Lakers performance against the Knicks at home? Have they seen LeBron play lately? I pick the Cavaliers to easily cover this and win, providing that they don’t have one of those mysterious games where they fall apart.

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons (-4½)

These teams are neck and neck in the East. Detroit is favored because they’re at home, as the Heat would be if they were. The Pistons are one game behind the Heat, but mainly because they’ve lost 4 of their last 5 games. I’m not positive at all on who to pick for this one, but I’ll go with the underdog Heat on this game.

Houston Rockets (-6) vs. Memphis Grizzlies

This is the day of no ½ point spreads. Anyways, the Rockets are good, but spotty. The Grizzlies are just plain bad and their only recent win was against the Clippers. Look for the Rockets to take this one and cover.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

There aren’t any lines up for this yet. I think the sportsbooks are afraid of how much money they will lose if they let people bet on this game. Obviously, Denver will kill OKC. Simple.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (-2½)

The Hawks got off to a good start this season before seemingly falling apart. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and seem to be slipping as hard as any one team can. The Timberwolves started horribly, but since have been picking it up. Granted, they’ve lost 3 of their last 5 games, but those losses were to the Celtics, Lakers, and Pistons. Not an easy bunch. It’s hard to say this, looking at each team’s records, but I’m picking the Timberwolves to win and cover. Don’t hate me Hawks fans, but your team needs to pick it up.

Chicago Bulls vs. New Orleans Hornets (-2½)

Apparently, Chris Paul is day-to-day and I only read that this morning in some passing blurb about things happening around the NBA. If Paul is out, this makes for a whole different game. He runs the Hornets. The Bulls are a decently bad team and should easily lose by more than 2½ if he’s in. I have to pick the Hornets because I don’t know if Paul will be back or not, but if he isn’t look for this to be an interesting game.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks (-4)

These are two solid teams that match up almost perfectly. The Mavericks get the edge because they’re at home. The question is, who will win in an even match up? I’ll give it to the home team, Dallas to win and cover, but damn I want to watch this game.

Phoenix Suns (-4) vs. Golden State Warriors

The ever-spotty Suns are playing the ever-terrible, but randomly spotty Warriors. Obviously, the Suns should be favored because they are better. But, they fall apart randomly and the Warriors turn it on randomly. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen tonight because I pick the Suns to win and cover.

NCAA

*There are a ton of Top 20 college games today, so my explanations will be brief. I don’t care a whole lot about most of these games.

West Virginia vs. Syracuse (-2)

Apparently, I haven’t been keeping up on Syracuse because they’ve lost 4 of their last 5. West Virginia is a cusp Top 20 team as well. I’m going to have to go with West Virginia on this one because Syracuse is falling apart.

Wake Forest (-3) vs. Miami Florida

Wake Forest has lost 2 games recently, which I didn’t think would happen the rest of the season when they hit #1. Shows what I know. They are better than Miami and should cover the spread.

Villanova (-2½) vs. Providence

Villanova is on the road, but should still beat Providence. They beat Pittsburgh two games ago.

Minnesota vs. Michigan State (-8½)

This game is more of a toss-up in my mind than an 8½ point spread should show. Both teams are relatively equal. I’ll have to give the win to Michigan for being at home, but the game should be closer than 8½.

Duke (-4½) vs. Clemson

#4 Duke vs. #10 Clemson will be a damn good game. Duke has a tough schedule and this proves it. They play the #10 team in the nation on their home court… and still get favored in the lines. Both teams are really dead equal and Clemson is at home, which confuses me on the line being so in favor of Duke. However, I will give the win and cover to Duke because I have a feeling that they will pull this road win off.

Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma (-12)

Now there’s a college line. I’m used to seeing Top 20 teams with lines like -20½, not -1½. Texas A&M isn’t a bad team either, but Oklahoma are absolutely a Top 20 team and playing at home. Oklahoma wins, but doesn’t cover 12 points.

Memphis (-17) vs. Southern Methodist

Again, a college line that tells you who is going to win. Memphis wins obviously and I’m thinking will cover, although that’s a beast of a line.

Missouri vs. Texas (-5)

These are two pretty comparable teams. One is in the Top 20 and playing at home and the other is a cusp team and playing on the road. I have to give this to Texas to win and cover, but I’m definitely not sure on this game.

USC vs. UCLA (-8)

UCLA is my team. How can I root against them when they’re at home, against a rival, and ranked in the Top 20? I just can’t. USC is a damn good team as well, who beat Cal in their last game. However, I give the win to UCLA and tentatively say that they cover the spread.

Yesterday’s recap:

  • The Magic were supposed to beat the Raptors by 6½ and they destroyed them. Nothing extraordinary there.
  • The Celtics won, but didn’t cover. I would have thought that they could cover, but that was a big spread.
  • I couldn’t believe the score of the Cav’s game going into the 4th. Down by 8? Are you joking me? Luckily, they pulled it out and won by 10. That’s right, they had an 18 point swing in the final quarter of a game. Jeebus.
  • The Thunder/Kings game was supposed to be close and… it went to overtime. I picked the Thunder and the Kings won in overtime by 4, oh well.
  • Vegas just made a metric assload of money. After leading by 11, Pittsburg went down by 3, only to get a touchdown with 35 seconds to go and go up by 4. So, not only did they not cover the spread, but anyone who picked the Cardinals lost as well. The only people with “support” for either side that were stoked for Pittsburg to get that touchdown were the people who picked them to win straight up at -220. I picked them to cover and they didn’t, but I still got the win right.



Overall, I was 3 for 4 on wins picked and 2 for 4 on spreads picked. I don’t feel that bad because I would never make a real pick on a game like Thunder/Kings. Without that, I was 3 for 3 and 2 for 3 on spreads. Not bad. As for the Super Bowl, I hate the Steelers for blowing their lead. Oh well, I still got the pick right, but they didn’t cover the spread like I thought they would. I hate football and it’s over, woo!

Today’s picks:

NBA

Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic (-7½)

The Mavericks are decent, but the Magic are amazing right now and playing at home. They have been destroying lately and I can’t image them not covering the spread, although at some point their streak of home games will probably run out. I say that they win and cover.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards (-5½)

The Wizards are at home and both teams are crap. I’m assuming that whoever wins will win by 5½. However, I’ll go out on a limb and say that the Grizzlies win because again, who cares? There seem to be way too many crap vs. crap games lately.

Los Angeles Lakers (-6) vs. New York Knicks

The Knicks have a -.500 record, but are at home and have been on a decent streak lately. This includes beating the Pacers, Hawks, and Rockets. However, the Lakers are beasts and have been slaughtering almost everyone lately. I pick the Lakers to win and cover.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Miami Heat (-10½)

The Heat are getting spottier and spottier. The Clippers are terrible, but held out against a few teams lately. I will give the win easily to the Heat, with them tentatively covering the spread because the Clippers tend to lose by a lot. I’m not 100% on the spread pick though.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. New Orleans Hornets (-3)

The Trail Blazers are getting better and the Hornets are getting shaky. The Hornets are at home and that’s the only reason why they have the spread on their side. I’m going to have to give this to the Trail Blazers, as much as I like Chris Paul, because I really think they can take this game. The Hornets did just lose to Golden State at home two days ago…

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns (-15½)

Hey, the Kings finally won a game… woo! The Suns obviously should win this game. The question comes down to the spread, as it usually does. When the Suns win, with few exceptions, they don’t win by a lot. That and their recent losses make me think that they’ll win, but let the Kings stay way too close for a 15½ point lead.

Charlotte Bobcats vs. Utah Jazz (-7½)

The Bobcats are really spotty for a crappy team. Which is actually a good thing if you are a sub .500 team. They randomly pull games against good teams and then lose to poor teams. The Jazz are/were a good team, but they have lost 4 of their last 5 games and just don’t seem to be proving themselves lately. I’m more torn than I should be as to who will win this game. I have to go with the Jazz to win and cover, but the damn Bobcats seem to randomly screw up picks. Oh well, they’re still bad.

San Antonio Spurs (-5) vs. Golden State Warriors

Even though Golden State beat the Hornets two games ago, I can’t give them the win in this at all. They are garbage overall, and San Antonio should win and cover.

NCAA Basketball

Robert Morris vs. Pittsburgh

There aren’t even lines up for this game that I can find. Let’s just go with Pittsburgh on this one for good measure.

Connecticut vs. Louisville (-2½)

If there were an opposite to those crap vs. crap NBA games I’ve been talking about, it would be this game. Connecticut has a better record and a higher rank, but Louisville is at home and only slightly lower ranked. This is a definite toss up for me. I’m going to go with Connecticut in the “upset” on this one, but only because they have been beating teams by a wider margin lately. Either way, this one will be a great game.

Butler (-1½) vs. Green Bay

Both of these teams are at least pretty good. However, Butler is better. They also beat Green Bay two weeks ago, which granted was at home. This time Green Bay is at home, but again I will still go with Butler to win this one and cover.

Recap of yesterday:

  • The 76ers beat the terrible Wizards by an even 10. I’ll consider that in my wins column, since I think anything that isn’t a loss is a win, especially in parlays.
  • Wasn’t sure on this one. Bucks beat the Raptors, oh well.
  • So, my first “obvious upset pick” that didn’t win was the Heat against the Warriors… at home. They had a ton of chances and let the score slide in the 4th. The Warriors got their first road win of the year against a +.500 team. Wow.
  • My shoddy pick: Hawks won and killed. I thought they would win, but not cover 7½.
  • I can’t believe that after being tied at the half, the Cavaliers managed to win by more than 15½. Jeebus that was a second half. Cav’s won by 18.
  • The Lakers won by 13, as expected.
  • The Jazz won by 20 against OKC. Finally, somebody beat them like they should get beaten every time. I picked the Jazz to win, but not cover the 10 point spread. Oh well. I like seeing OKC get destroyed.
  • The Nuggets won by 11 on a 10 point spread. Barely beat it, but made me right on the game.
  • Um, my “Hornets win… and cover. Done.” review was wrong apparently. The Hornets played like crap at home.
  • In my crap vs. crap pick I chose Chicago. They killed the Kings. Congrats.
  • My one NCAA pick was Valparaiso vs. Butler with an 18 point spread. I didn’t really care, but picked Butler to win and cover. They won, but didn’t cover.



Overall, I was 7 out of 10 for NBA win picks and a “meh” 5 out of 10 on spreads. I was right on my NCAA Basketball win pick, but wrong on the spread. So, I was 8 for 11 in win picks and 5 for 11 in spreads. Not a bueno day, but not terrible. I’ll work on the spreads and possibly not spread my “support” quite as thin, but I still like the idea of spreading it out a bit. F-ing Heat/Hornets is all I have to say. Today’s picks:

NBA

New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers (-3½)

This should be a close game of mediocre teams. Both have beaten good teams lately and the Pacers are at home. I would probably give this to whoever of the two was at home, so I say the Pacers win.

New Jersey Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-7½)

The 76ers are a slightly better team and they’re playing at home. Again, I will go with the home team on this. However, the game should be close and less than 7½ point difference, based on how even these teams are.

Dallas Mavericks (-2) vs. Miami Heat

Well, the Heat let me down yesterday, but I still feel like I’m in some bizarro-NBA world where they aren’t favored… at home… against a team with an almost even record. I will go with the Heat for the upset again, but I swear if they lose this I might have to stop giving Dwayne Wade so much credit.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Washington Wizards (-4½)

This is the true battle of crap, to end all battles of crap. The two worst teams in the league are facing off. I flipped a quarter and it said that the Wizards are going to win. In truth, I think they will because they’re at home and Chris Kaman of the Clippers is hurt. I think they’ll cover the spread as well because both of these teams fall apart when losing.

Los Angeles Lakers (-11) vs. Memphis Grizzlies

The Lakers are still right at the top of all teams in the NBA, while the Memphis Grizzlies are right at the bottom. Home game aside, the Lakers will destroy the Grizzlies and most likely cover this spread.

New Orleans Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs (-6½)

For once, the Spurs are actually favored. Of course, now they’re playing one of the top teams in the NBA and they are actually supposed to win by 6½. I think they will, but this is a tough call.

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets (-8)

The Rockets are at home against what should be a terrible team. The Warriors just beat New Orleans at home, though which was a giant shocker to me. I can’t expect them to keep playing like that, but New Orleans was supposed to win by 9 and lost. I still pick the Rockets to win by 8 or more, but yesterday shook me a little on them.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks (-1½)

The Hawks have a better record, despite a recent semi-streak of losses. The Bucks are at home. I give this one to the spotty Hawks because I feel like they will start to pull some wins together, especially against the Bucks sans Michael Redd.

Chicago Bulls vs. Phoenix Suns (-9½)

The Suns are at home and the Bulls are terrible. The Suns win and while they are spotty at covering spreads, I still think they will cover this one.

Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers (-9½)

The Trail Blazers are at home, so they should gain an advantage. The Jazz have been pretty terrible lately, so I definitely give the Trail Blazers the win. This is a big spread, but I think they will cover it.

NCAA Basketball

Most of the games are already started, so it’s unfair to put picks out (sorry I got a late start). I would have picked UCLA over Stanford and Wake Forest to win (which they didn’t at the last second). I’m not putting picks out for either of these, but I felt like stating my opinion anyways.

MMA

George St. Pierre vs. BJ Penn

I may be biased, but I’ve always liked St. Pierre and never liked BJ Penn. That being said, St. Pierre is slightly favored anyways. I’ll go with St. Pierre to win this and hopefully take the title.

Yesterday’s picks recap:

  • Hey look, the Pacers covered the spread. The Bucks are still crap and I can go on living life.
  • The Celtics beat the Kings by 19. I said the Celtics would win and tentatively the Kings would stay within 17½. Sue me, I missed a giiiiant spread by 1½ points.
  • The Heat won, I swore. They had a scary start, but pulled through and covered the horrible play that the Rockets had tonight.
  • I gave this one to the underdog Nets. They lost, but only by 1 on a 2½ spread, so for the first time I lost my pick on the win, but won my pick on the spread.
  • Another underdog pick I made, the Knicks over the Hawks. This time the underdogs pulled it out and killed the Hawks.
  • I was worried, but picked the Hornets to win. They killed it and easily covered the spread.
  • The Pistons beat Minnesota easier than I thought they would. Good thing I picked them to win and cover the spread, eh?
  • Apparently, the Trail Blazers can pull off large margin victories. I picked them to win, but not cover the 11½ point spread and they won by 14. Touche Trail Blazers, touche.
  • GD Rockets. I swear they’re so spotty. Of course T-Mac misses a 3 at the end and they lose to the 76ers. Grr, my angry pick for the day. I picked Houston and… they lost.
  • In the battle of crap, the lesser crap won. I picked the Bulls over the Clippers and they delivered, woo.



Damn, that was long for just NBA scores. Overall, I was 8 for 10 in win picks and 7 for 10 in spread picks. I underestimated large victories today. Oh well, something to think about tomorrow. Today’s picks:

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic (-4)

So, this is the day when I might go 0 for 2, eh? I mean, the Cavaliers with close to the best record in the league are underdogs to the Magic, who are right there with them. It’s a Magic home game obviously, or there is no way in hell they would be favored over the undefeated at home Cavaliers. I have to say though, Orlando has lost only 1 game at home since November, which is almost as impressive considering they beat the Lakers and Spurs. Either way, I think the team that wins this will pull away and demoralize the other team, covering a 4 point spread on either side. I will tentatively give this to the Magic, one of the few times and possibly only time I will pick against the Cavaliers.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns (-1½)

Here we go again, and why I said I may go 0 for 2. The Spurs are underdogs and I’m confused why they have been the last two times I made picks on them. I hate them, but they are good. I understand again that the team with the slightly worse record is the home team, but still the Spurs just beat the Jazz, who have a much greater home court advantage. My underdog pick of the day, for the second day in a row, is the San Antonio Spurs to win this one over the Suns.

NCAA

*There aren’t lines up yet, so I will pick winners with very little to say about my picks.

Michigan State vs. Iowa

Michigan State wins because… they’re better and supposed to win.

Clemson vs. Virginia Tech

I still can’t believe Virginia Tech beat Wake Forest. Ridiculous, I say. At home, against a team I consider worse? I say they pull off the win that I’m guessing will have them as an underdog against the #12 team.

Washington vs. Arizona

Washington wins hands down. They’ve beaten teams I think are better than them, while Arizona has lost to the same teams. Washington will kill it.

Washington State vs. Arizona State

Take what I said in the last pick and reverse the states. Arizona State will kill this. They have beaten all of the good teams that Washington State has lost to and they’re at home. Done.

California vs. UCLA

I can’t believe that two of the teams out of the 4 above this pick have beaten UCLA, and in the past 2 weeks no less! What the hell happened UCLA? I still think you’re a final four contender, but pick up the f-ing slack. It’s really a toss up in my mind with UCLA’s recent slacking and Cal losing to random teams they should beat recently. I’ll give this to my team, UCLA, who better start playing like the team everyone knows they can be.